Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000120 0.000134 0.000148 0.000164 0.000182 0.000202 0.000225
2025-11-02 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000162 0.000191 0.000225 0.000266
2025-11-09 0.000086 0.000106 0.000130 0.000162 0.000201 0.000248 0.000310
2025-11-16 0.000074 0.000096 0.000123 0.000160 0.000207 0.000268 0.000351
2025-11-23 0.000066 0.000088 0.000118 0.000159 0.000215 0.000290 0.000396
2025-11-30 0.000059 0.000082 0.000114 0.000159 0.000224 0.000312 0.000445
2025-12-07 0.000053 0.000076 0.000109 0.000158 0.000229 0.000331 0.000489
2025-12-14 0.000049 0.000073 0.000107 0.000160 0.000240 0.000358 0.000546
2025-12-21 0.000045 0.000069 0.000104 0.000160 0.000248 0.000381 0.000601
2025-12-28 0.000042 0.000065 0.000101 0.000159 0.000253 0.000400 0.000650
2026-01-04 0.000039 0.000063 0.000100 0.000161 0.000264 0.000428 0.000716
2026-01-11 0.000037 0.000060 0.000098 0.000162 0.000271 0.000451 0.000776
2026-01-18 0.000034 0.000057 0.000095 0.000161 0.000277 0.000474 0.000839
2026-01-25 0.000032 0.000054 0.000092 0.000160 0.000283 0.000495 0.000900
2026-02-01 0.000030 0.000052 0.000090 0.000160 0.000289 0.000520 0.000970
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000049 0.000087 0.000159 0.000293 0.000538 0.001031
2026-02-15 0.000026 0.000047 0.000085 0.000158 0.000299 0.000562 0.001103
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000045 0.000083 0.000158 0.000306 0.000588 0.001184
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000157 0.000309 0.000608 0.001251
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000159 0.000320 0.000642 0.001354
2026-03-15 0.000021 0.000041 0.000079 0.000160 0.000328 0.000672 0.001448
2026-03-22 0.000019 0.000039 0.000077 0.000158 0.000332 0.000693 0.001528
2026-03-29 0.000019 0.000038 0.000077 0.000161 0.000343 0.000732 0.001649